• 全国中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 美国工程索引(EI)收录期刊
  • Scopus数据库收录期刊
肖特, 李典庆, 周创兵. 岩土工程协同式风险评估方法[J]. 岩土工程学报. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20240581
引用本文: 肖特, 李典庆, 周创兵. 岩土工程协同式风险评估方法[J]. 岩土工程学报. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20240581
Collaborative risk assessment approach in geotechnical engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20240581
Citation: Collaborative risk assessment approach in geotechnical engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE20240581

岩土工程协同式风险评估方法

Collaborative risk assessment approach in geotechnical engineering

  • 摘要: 空间变异性是岩土材料的独特属性,给岩土工程可靠性分析和风险评估带来了巨大挑战。本文在随机有限元法的框架下,提出了一种结合多模型效率和精度优势的协同式风险评估方法,通过随机模拟样本空间建立简单模型和复杂模型的内在联系,不仅能灵活地处理复杂的岩土体空间变异性,同时能实现既高效又准确的风险评估。通过基坑、浅基础、边坡等3个典型岩土工程算例验证了协同式风险评估方法的有效性,其计算效率较传统随机模拟方法提高了数个量级,为复杂工程定量风险评估提供切实可行的工具。岩土体三维空间变异性会显著影响岩土工程的失效模式、可靠性和风险,协同式风险评估方法能够合理考虑这些影响,极大促进随机有限元法在实际工程中的应用。多模型协同策略可以推广应用于贝叶斯更新、最优化等诸多目标明确的随机问题。

     

    Abstract: Spatial variability is a unique property of geo-materials, posing significant challenges to geotechnical reliability analysis and risk assessment. Within the framework of random finite element method, this study proposes a collaborative risk assessment approach that combines the advantages of multiple models in terms of efficiency and accuracy. By establishing an inherent connection between simple and complex models through the sample space of stochastic simulation, the proposed approach not only flexibly handles the complex spatial variability of geo-materials but also achieves both efficient and accurate risk assessment. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through three typical geotechnical examples of excavation, shallow foundation, and slope. Its computational efficiency is improved by several orders of magnitude compared to conventional random simulation methods, providing a practical tool for quantitative risk assessment in complex engineering projects. The three-dimensional spatial variability significantly affects the failure modes, reliability, and risk of geotechnical structures. The collaborative risk assessment approach can appropriately consider these effects and greatly facilitate the application of random finite element method in practice. The multi-model collaboration strategy can be extended to various stochastic problems with well-defined objectives, such as Bayesian updating and optimization.

     

/

返回文章
返回