• 全国中文核心期刊
  • 中国科技核心期刊
  • 美国工程索引(EI)收录期刊
  • Scopus数据库收录期刊
曹子君, 郑硕, 李典庆, 区兆驹. 基于静力触探的土层自动划分方法与不确定性表征[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2018, 40(2): 336-345. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201802015
引用本文: 曹子君, 郑硕, 李典庆, 区兆驹. 基于静力触探的土层自动划分方法与不确定性表征[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2018, 40(2): 336-345. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201802015
CAO Zi-jun, ZHENG Shuo, LI Dian-qing, AU Sui-kiu. Probabilistic characterization of underground stratigraphy and its uncertainty based on cone penetration test[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2018, 40(2): 336-345. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201802015
Citation: CAO Zi-jun, ZHENG Shuo, LI Dian-qing, AU Sui-kiu. Probabilistic characterization of underground stratigraphy and its uncertainty based on cone penetration test[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2018, 40(2): 336-345. DOI: 10.11779/CJGE201802015

基于静力触探的土层自动划分方法与不确定性表征

Probabilistic characterization of underground stratigraphy and its uncertainty based on cone penetration test

  • 摘要: 提出了一种基于Ic数据自动划分土层的贝叶斯方法,所提方法不仅能够在考虑Ic的空间变异性的条件下自动划分土层,识别最可能的土层界面,而且能够定量地表征土层界面的不确定性,为制定下一步勘探方案和岩土工程设计提供参考依据。本文采用基于子集模拟的贝叶斯更新方法(CBUS)求解贝叶斯方程,产生土层厚度的后验分布样本,并计算每个可能的土层数目对应的模型证据,确定最可能土层数和最可能的土层界面深度,计算界面深度的标准差作为土层界面不确定性的量化指标。最后,通过上海市轨道交通10号线伊犁站基坑开挖现场的Ic数据和模拟Ic数据说明了所提方法的有效性和正确性。结果表明:所提方法划分的土层合理地反映了不同土层Ic的统计特性。相邻土层Ic的统计特性差异越大,界面深度的标准差越小,识别出的土层界面越可靠,反之亦然。

     

    Abstract: A Bayesian framework is developed to probabilistically identify the underground stratigraphy based on Ic data. The proposed Bayesian framework identifies the most probable soil layer boundaries with the consideration of spatial variability of Ic and quantifies the uncertainties in the underground stratigraphy, which provides valuable information for making future site investigation plans and geotechnical designs. A subset simulation-based Bayesian updating algorithm (CBUS) is used to generate posterior samples of soil layer thicknesses and to calculate the model evidence for determining the most probable number of soil layers and the most probable soil layer boundaries, and the standard deviations of boundaries are calculated to quantify the uncertainty in soil layer boundaries. Finally, the proposed approach is illustrated and verified using the real Ic data obtained from a deep excavation site at Yili station of Shanghai No. 10 subway line and simulated Ic data from a virtual site. The results show that the underground stratigraphy identified by the proposed approach is based on the statistical similarity of Ic data. With the increase of statistical difference in Ic data within two adjacent soil layers, the standard deviation of the soil layer boundary between them decreases, and the soil layer boundary identified by the proposed approach is more reliable, and vice versa.

     

/

返回文章
返回