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高建勇, 邢义川, 陈艳霞. 黄土高边坡稳定性预测模型研究[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2011, 33(zk1): 163-169.
引用本文: 高建勇, 邢义川, 陈艳霞. 黄土高边坡稳定性预测模型研究[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2011, 33(zk1): 163-169.
GAO Jian-yong, XING Yi-chuan, CHEN Yan-xia. Prediction model for stability of high loess slopes[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2011, 33(zk1): 163-169.
Citation: GAO Jian-yong, XING Yi-chuan, CHEN Yan-xia. Prediction model for stability of high loess slopes[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2011, 33(zk1): 163-169.

黄土高边坡稳定性预测模型研究

Prediction model for stability of high loess slopes

  • 摘要: 黄土地区的滑坡严重制约了当地的经济发展,为了减轻滑坡灾害的损失,有必要进一步加强边坡稳定的预测研究工作。由于黄土的水敏性,黄土高边坡土体的稳定性主要受到坡体含水率的控制。本文在综合考虑黄土边坡各种影响因素的基础上,提出了考虑含水率的黄土高边坡稳定性预测模型。本文首先在图解法的基础上开发了自动查表程序,可自动生成大量具有代表性的边坡数据,为后续建模提供数据支持;进而基于改进的遗传神经网络,建立了考虑含水率变化的黄土边坡稳定性预测模型,并验证了该模型的可靠性。最后以关中地区两个高边坡为例,利用该模型对边坡在不同含水率状态下的稳定性进行了预测。结果表明,模型的预测值和期望值吻合较好,说明该模型在关中地区具有广泛的适用性。

     

    Abstract: The landslides of loess districts restrict the local economic development seriously. In order to reduce the loss caused by landslides, it is necessary to reinforce the analysis and prediction on loess slopes. The stability of high loess slopes is controlled by water content of slopes because of the water sensitivity of loess. In view of that, based on various influencing factors of loess slopes, a model is presented to predict the stability of loess slopes by simulating water content. Firstly, based on the graphic method, an automatic table lookup program is developed to generate numerous representative slope data, by using these data, a predicting model is established based on the modified genetic Neural Networks. Then the model is validated to be of high precision by simulating the training data and test data. Finally, taking two engineering cases for example, the application of the model in predicting the stability of slopes with different initial states is introduced. By comparing with the values of graphic method, the results show that the predicted results agree with the expected results, indicating that the model has wide applicability in Guanzhong area.

     

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