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张小平, 王 杰, 胡明亮. 事故树分析在排桩基坑工程安全评价中的应用研究[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2011, 33(6): 960.
引用本文: 张小平, 王 杰, 胡明亮. 事故树分析在排桩基坑工程安全评价中的应用研究[J]. 岩土工程学报, 2011, 33(6): 960.
ZHANG Xiao-ping, WANG Jie, HU Ming-liang. Application of FTA in safety assessment of row piles of excavation engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2011, 33(6): 960.
Citation: ZHANG Xiao-ping, WANG Jie, HU Ming-liang. Application of FTA in safety assessment of row piles of excavation engineering[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 2011, 33(6): 960.

事故树分析在排桩基坑工程安全评价中的应用研究

Application of FTA in safety assessment of row piles of excavation engineering

  • 摘要: 根据事故树分析FTA的原理,建造了排桩支护结构体系的事故树图;提出了将专家调查的失事基坑工程统计频率与级差概率相结合的方法来确定底事件的概率的方法;在确定最小割集的基础上,进行了顶事件概率的计算,对于相交的割集通过采用将最小割集中出现的相交和化为不交和的方法–递推化法来实现;最后通过重要度分析评价,对基本事件的重要度进行排序,以便寻求对顶事件发生事故最有影响的潜在因素,并据此进行安全评价报告,指出相应的安全对策及建议。

     

    Abstract: According to the theories of fault tree analysis (FTA), the fault tree diagram of retaining structure system with row piles is established. The probability method of combining the statistical frequency and the progressional probability of accidental excavations investigated by experts to verify the probability of bottom events is proposed. The top events according to the probability of the basis of verifying the minimal cut set are calculated. The intersecting cut set is obtained through the recursive algorithms by using the intersecting and non-intersecting in the minimal cut set. The basic events are rearranged based on the importance according to the importance analysis to find out the most influentially potential factor for the occurrence of the top events. Also, a safety evaluation report is finished, and the corresponding safety measurements are suggested.

     

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