矿山岩层运动非线性动力学反演预测方法
Predicting model for back analysis of non linear dynamical features in strata motion
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摘要: 根据非线性动力学观点,提出了岩层运动预测的反演建模方法。研究表明,由于岩层运动的内在非线性机制,进行长期预测将会有较大误差,而对岩层运动进行短期动态新息预测是实现可靠预测的可行途径。文中的方法对煤爆、岩爆等动力现象的预测研究具有一定的参考价值。Abstract: In this paper, from the non linear dynamical view, the authors put forward the predicting method of strata motion with in situ measured data. The researches show that there would be considerable errors for long term forecast because of non linear dynamical features of strata motion, therefore to set up short time model by taking new information is a good way to realize the reliable prediction for strata motion. It is helpful to the prediction of coal and rock burst.